Results tagged ‘ Ken Griffey Jr ’

Mark McGwire, I forgive you

The big news today in baseball is that Mark McGwire has admitted to using steroids throughout his major league career.

McGwire went on the hit 583 career home runs, the eighth most all time.  At the time of his retirement, McGwire was considered a possible unanimous pick for baseball’s Hall of Fame.  Since he has been eligible for election, he has failed to ever garner more than 24% of the vote. (75% is needed to be enshrined)

Mark was recently hired as the hitting coach for the St Louis Cardinals and has decided to come clean so as not to be a distraction or burden to the team.  Questions about his steroid use would’ve lingered throughout the season.

I’m glad McGwire apologized and came clean.  I always had a sense that McGwire had done steroids along with Sosa, Bonds, and Palmeiro.  At least McGwire never lied about taking steroids, or mysteriously forgot how to speak English when asked about his steroid use (Sosa).

Therefore, when McGwire and the Cardinals make their several trips to PNC Park this summer, I will not boo.  I will not taunt.  I will welcome McGwire back and cheer him. 

From a ballhawking perspective, this is a fantastic thing.  The Cardinals had an extreme opposite field approach last year and yielded very little home runs during batting practice.  Hopefully Big Mac can get them to go long ball a little more often in batting practice.

As for his Hall of Fame bid, I don’t think McGwire will ever get into the Hall of Fame.  He is forever tarnished.  If I had a vote, even though I would want to vote for him, I couldn’t.

From those players who began their careers in the early 1990′s the only true sluggers that I would vote for when they would retire would be Jim Thome, Ken Griffey Jr, and Chipper Jones.  Recently retired Frank Thomas would also get my vote.

McGwire is an admitted steroid user and may now become the litmus test for the steroid era.  If he doesn’t get close to being inducted into the Hall of Fame, I don’t see how Barry Bonds, Manny Ramirez or Alex Rodriguez can get in.

The home run crown has lost it’s glitter.  Some baseball purists refuse to recognize Bonds as the best home run hitter of all time.  I just hope that Albert Pujols one day hits #763 to surpass Bonds so we have a true home run king of all time.  And I hope McGwire is the first one to congratulate him at home plate when he does.

7-16-09 Progressive Field

I decided to attend this game in Cleveland, seeing as the Pirates were off and I would not be able to attend this weekend’s Friday and Saturday’s games due to a wedding.

I began the day with a career tally of 392 balls snagged.  I would need 8 to get to 400.  It would’ve been nice to get a landmark ball outside of PNC Park for once.

I arrived at the stadium at 3:35, and the Indians were already inside hitting.  It is not unusual for Indians to be taking early BP, I’ve seen it many times, so I didn’t think much of it at the time.

At the gates I was greeted by PNC Park ballhawks Bryan Pelescak and his brother Nick.  They were the first ones in line and had already snagged balls over outside the left field gates.  The top three ballhawks at PNC Park had all made the trip (We all have over 100 balls snagged apiece this season).  There would likely be some stiff competition today.

When the gates opened, I ran into the right field bleachers to search for Easter Eggs.  I ran down the center area of the right field seats, looking around quickly for any balls.  I got down to the front row and spotted a ball to my right.  I picked up ball #1.  On the board.  A few feet further in the same row was ball #2.  Another section over was ball #3.  I then spotted another ball but a police offer hurriedly went over and picked it up.  “I need this,” he snorted.  “It’s cool, I already found some,” I said.  I then ran over to Heritage Park.  This was within maybe a minute or two of the park opening, so I was hoping I would be the first one there.  However, a young ballhawk, maybe 14 years old had beaten me there.  He was trying to reach a ball that was at the back of the wall underneath the fence in heritage park.  He stood up and began to walk away, but then saw me out of the corner of his eye and went back to the spot.  I went over and asked if he had anything to get the ball with, he said he didn’t.  I got out my 72 inch ruler and told him he should also check the tall grass for balls.  It took me only a few seconds to push the ball closer to me, and I had ball #4.  I probably should’ve given it to the kid, but I was in such a hurry to get back to right field to look for more Easter Eggs that I just ran off.  I felt guilty a minute later as soon as I realized that I snubbed the kid.  It was a jerk move on my part.  I didn’t feel so bad after the teen sent me a nasty hateful email (apparently he knows of my blog – how else would he know to run directly to Heritage Park?) filled with swear words and random personal attacks.  (Don’t worry Marty R from Salem OH, I won’t post your message or any of your personal info here (IP address, etc)-I’m not going to sink that low – just think before you go spouting off) I’m sure next time he’ll be better prepared with a device of his own to get those hard to reach balls in Heritage Park.

I continued to walk up and down every row searching for balls while Nick and Bryan did the same thing.  I soon found ball #5, tucked at the bottom of a folded up chair.  Nick also found five.  Progressive Field is an Easter Egg heaven.

Then I realized something was wrong.  There were no Indians on the field.  The groundscrew had come out and started watering the dirt on the infield.
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Not good.  I was off to a fantastic start, and the Indians are a great right field hitting BP team.  I would’ve had an excellent chance at double digits. 

The crowd was sparse too.
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When the ball was in view, I went to work.  I had to be quick because there were policemen in the market pavilion behind me, and a worker who’s supposed to watch the bullpen.  I was able to get the ball on the first attempt, and slowly reeled it in for ball #7.  A few impressed spectators asked me how I was able to get the ball, and I explained the glove trick to them.

I went back to left field, but it was really crowded at this point.  I had little range. 

Luckily, a right handed batter hit a ball that bounced on the warning track, and into the trees in Heritage Park.  I had a chance to nab my 400th career ball.  I ran up the steps in center field and over to Heritage Park.

When I got to the spot, a teenager had a ball and was gloating about his prize.  Oh well.  I decided to check anyway.  Wouldn’t you know it, there it was, a ball that was tucked away at the back of the outfield wall behind the base of one of the trees.  It would be a tough ball to get because one of the monuments prevented me from inserting the collapsible ruler straight on.
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After some finangling, I was able to get the ball close enough to reach in and grab ball #8 (#400).

I ended BP over in left field.  Unfortunately, the last group featured utility players and back ups, so few home runs were hit.

I ended the day with eight baseballs.  I went back to Heritage Park to do one last check for any balls that I may have missed.  On my way there, an old guy, who had been repeatedly pestering me in right field for baseballs offered to buy one off of me for $3.  I turned him down.  “Sorry, I don’t sell them.”  When I was looking for balls in Heritage Park, along with Nick, a teenager offered Nick $20 for a ball.  When Nick turned him down, he made me the same offer.  I also turned him down.  “I don’t sell them, plus I wrote on all the ones I got.  Sorry.”  I told him.  If I had brought along some extras I would’ve sold him one.  I probably have at least 100 MLB balls at home that I didn’t snag, and aren’t part of my official collection.  I use them to give away on occasion, especially in times like the scenario that played out with ball #4 today.

After BP, I took off, hoping to get home before dusk.  Which I did achieve, even with a stop at Wendy’s for dinner. (Small Chili, 1 Grilled Chicken Go-Wrap).
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I haven’t been staying at many games lately.  I don’t have time to with my new hobby.

Today’s baseballs:
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And the sweet spots:
photo(143).jpgSTATISTICS:
Game:  8 Balls (5 hit, 3 device)
Season:  234 Balls (124 hit, 75 thrown, 35 device)
Games:  47 Games (5 of them didn’t have BP)
Average:  4.98 Balls per Game
Career: 400 Balls
Attendance:  22,371

Countdown to 2009 Part 3 : Nate McLouth

nate mclouth.jpgNate McLouth had a break out season in 2009, and along with Paul
Maholm, was one of the few bright spots to come from the Pirates’ 16th
consecutive losing season.

Contract:
2009 will be Nate’s first year of arbitration eligibility, and he is
guaranteed a big raise.  The Pirates have tried to sign McLouth to a
long term deal, but they are far apart on the numbers.  The chances of
getting a long term deal done are “close to dead.”  Nate made $425,000
in 2008.  He will remain under the Pirates’ control for the next three
years.

Miscellaneous Facts:
Favorite Vacation Spot: Cancun
Favorite Musical Artist: Rascal Flatts
Athlete Admired Growing Up: Ken Griffey Jr.
Athlete You’d Like to Meet: Michael Jordan
First Job: Baseball
Favorite TV Show: 24
Famous Person You’d Like to Meet (Dead or Alive): George Washington

Performance:
Nate set personal bests in just about every offensive category in 2008,
was the Pirate’s lone representative in the All-Star game (he threw out
a runner at the plate), and won his first career Gold Glove.  No wonder
he and the Pirates are far apart in their salaray negotiations.  I
think the Pirates would be better off to wait a year and see if Nate
can duplicate his 2008 numbers.  The Pirates have been burned on recent
contract offers (Freddy Sanchez, Ian Snell) in the fact that they’ve
given long term deals, and the players performances have dropped
dramatically.

A look at Nate’s career numbers and 2009 projections:

Season Team G AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI BB SO SB CS AVG
2009 155 603 162 44 5 17 97 77 70 101
2005 Pirates 41 109 28 6 0 5 20 12 3 20 2 0 .257
2006 Pirates 106 270 63 16 2 7 50 16 18 59 10 1 .233
2007 Pirates 137 329 85 21 3 13 62 38 39 77 22 1 .258
2008 Pirates 152 597 165 46 4 26 113 94 65 93 23 3 .276
2009 Bill James 143 560 154 40 3 21 103 72 57 87 22 5 .275
2009 Marcel   509 135 35 4 19 91 66 54 96 21 2 .265

Career Totals through ’08  436  1305  341   89   9   51 245  160  125  249  5    5    261

If you look at the 2009 projections, Bill James, Marcel, and myself all
think that Nate will drop off a bit in 2009.  If you recall, McLouth
set the world on fire the first month of 2008.  He had a fantastic
first half.  In the second half though, either Nate tired or pitchers
began to figure him out. 

Nate’s First half vs. Second half splits:

Split    G  AB   R   H  2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP  SLG  OPS  
+-+------------+---+---+---+---+---+---+-+--+-+-+---+----+---+---+
1st Half 90 367 69 103 33 3 19 65 36 50 11 .281 .357 .542 .899
2nd Half 62 230 44 62 13 1 7 29 29 43 12 .270 .355 .426 .781

First of all, the first half is always longer than the second half, so
it’s not a perfect 81/81 game split.  But we can see a frightening drop
off in Nate’s power and run production numbers.  One can attribute a
lack of RBI’s to an overall inferior lineup after Bay and Nady were
traded.  Still, Nate’s doubles, triples, and homers were all down,
suggesting that Nate was not driving the ball with the authority he had
in the first half.  This is one of the main reasons why I can’t predict
Nate will hit 30 HR and drive in 110 RBI in 2009, like some Pittsburgh
fans would like to think.

Also, Nate’s numbers differentiate greatly based on where he hits in the order.

Split         AB  R  H  2B 3B HR RBI BB SO   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS  
+-+------------+---+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+---+---+
Batting 1st 326 67 89 32 1 17 55 37 45 .273 .362 .534 .895
Batting 2nd 61 12 16 4 1 6 14 6 10 .262 .333 .656 .989
Batting 3rd 208 34 59 10 2 3 24 22 38 .284 .352 .394 .746

Some have predicted that Nate will bat 3rd in 2009.  This would seem
logical due to the fact that Nyjer Morgan projects to be the everyday
left fielder at this point.  The most likely line up in my opinion
would be Morgan batting first, Sanchez batting second (he really should
be 8th, but Russell loves him in the 2 spot), McLouth 3rd, and Doumit
4th. 

McLouth’s production from the 3rd spot is frighteningly mediocre.  Yes,
his average was very good, but just take one look at his slugging
percentage and you’ll realize that McLouth feels most comfortable in
the leadoff spot. 

If Nate under performs in 2009 in the 3rd spot of the batting order, I
wouldn’t mind Russell going back to his 2008 strategy of batting the
pitcher 8th.  Nyjer could bat 9th, allowing Nate to be in his comfort
zone at the top of the order.

Not to bore you with more statistics, but some statisticians were
shocked to see Nate selected as a gold glove winner in 2008.  True,
McLouth did not commit many errors in 2008, but take a look at these
fielding statistics:

Season Team Pos G Inn PO A E FP DG exO RngR ErrR UZR UZR/150
2005 Pirates CF 21 166.0 36 0 0 1.000 12 33 1.8 0.2 2.0 25.2
2006 Pirates CF 42 345.0 84 1 1 .988 38 96 -3.1 0.5 -2.6 -10.4
2007 Pirates CF 66 495.1 142 2 2 .986 58 148 -5.4 0.0 -5.4 -13.9
2008 Pirates CF 149 1300.1 380 5 1 .997 152 389 -16.6 1.3 -15.3 -15.1

So what do those numbers mean?  Here’s a glossary of some of the categories you may not recognize:

Fielding

DG (defensive games): The number of outs made by an
average fielder at his position given the exact distribution of balls
in play for that player divided by the number of outs an average player
at that position makes per game.

exO (expected outs): The number of outs plus
reached base errors that would be made by an average fielder given the
distribution of balls in play while that fielder was on the field.

RngR (range runs): The number of runs above or
below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to
get to balls hit in his vicinity.

ErrR (error runs): The number of runs above or
below average a fielder is, determined by the number of errors he makes
as compared to an average fielder at that position given the same
distribution of balls in play.

UZR (ultimate zone rating): The number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined.

UZR/150 (ultimate zone rate per 150 games): The number of runs above or below average a fielder is, per 150 defensive games.

The numbers say that Nate was 16.6 runs below average in 2008 as a
center fielder.  With a pitching staff as bad as it was in 2008, those
were 16 runs that the Pirates could not afford to give up.  Nate may best be
suited for RF at some point, based on these highly complex and precise
fielding metrics.

In 2009 we can expect McLouth to be a decent player, but do not set your expectations too high.

–Erik

Countdown:
Pitchers and Catchers: 41 days
Opening Day:  92 days
Home Opener: 99 days

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